Case 8: Traffic Quality Persistence Analysis
Case 8: Traffic Quality Persistence: Analyzing Multi-Step Conversion
Section titled “Case 8: Traffic Quality Persistence: Analyzing Multi-Step Conversion”Context
Section titled “Context”After finding campaign winners at step 1 (landing → achieve_screen), check if quality persists
The Advanced Funnel View
Section titled “The Advanced Funnel View”From filtered winner segment:
| Step | Event | Persons | Conversion | Drop-off | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | achieve_screen_loaded | 7,855 (100%) | - | - | - |
| 2 | achieve_screen_viewed | 4,996 (63.6%) | 63.6% | 2,859 (36.4%) | 9s |
| 3 | sex_screen_loaded | 4,517 (57.5%) | 90.4% | 479 (9.6%) | 14s |
Overall Funnel Performance
Section titled “Overall Funnel Performance”- Total conversion rate: 30.85% (much better than baseline ~4-10%)
- This is the “mio moi” filtered view showing good traffic
The “Loaded vs Viewed” Bounce Effect
Section titled “The “Loaded vs Viewed” Bounce Effect”Key Observation at Step 1→2
Section titled “Key Observation at Step 1→2”achieve_screen_loaded(page loaded in browser): 7,855 peopleachieve_screen_viewed(user actually engaged with page): 4,996 people (63.6%)- 36.4% drop-off between page loading and viewing
What This Means
Section titled “What This Means”- This is a “micro-bounce” within the same page
- User’s browser loaded the page, but they didn’t engage with it
- Could be: page closed immediately, tab closed, bounced before interaction
The Critical Insight: Same Page, Different Traffic Sources
Section titled “The Critical Insight: Same Page, Different Traffic Sources”The Test
Section titled “The Test”- Everyone at
achieve_screensees the EXACT SAME screen - The screen doesn’t change based on which landing page they came from
- Yet conversion rates differ based on original traffic source
Findings
Section titled “Findings”When you filter by good campaigns (like campaign 1202363… + affid 1000):
- Loaded → Viewed conversion is likely HIGHER than 63.6%
- These users engage more with the content
When you filter by bad campaigns:
- Loaded → Viewed conversion is likely LOWER than 63.6%
- These users bounce even from the second screen
Since the screen is identical for everyone, the difference must be:
- Audience quality: Who you’re targeting
- User intent: How motivated they are
- Expectation match: Whether your ad promised what the page delivers
The Conclusion: It’s an Audience Problem
Section titled “The Conclusion: It’s an Audience Problem”Evidence
Section titled “Evidence”- ✅ Different campaigns perform differently on same landing page (5% vs 44%)
- ✅ Good traffic outperforms at step 1 AND step 2 (not just one step)
- ✅ Same page shows different conversion based on traffic source
- ✅ Bad traffic performs badly on ALL landing pages
Diagnosis: Primary issue is audience quality/targeting, NOT page design
Why This Matters
Section titled “Why This Matters”If you had assumed “low conversion = bad landing page”
Section titled “If you had assumed “low conversion = bad landing page””- You’d spend weeks redesigning pages
- Testing new layouts, copy, colors
- Optimizing load times
- Results: Minimal improvement (because traffic is bad)
Now you know “low conversion = bad traffic”
Section titled “Now you know “low conversion = bad traffic””- Fix targeting on campaigns
- Adjust ad creative to attract right users
- Pause underperforming campaigns
- Scale winning campaigns
- Results: 4-5x improvement immediately
Actionable Next Steps
Section titled “Actionable Next Steps”Priority 1: Traffic/Audience Optimization
Section titled “Priority 1: Traffic/Audience Optimization”- Audit all campaigns for targeting quality
- Compare ad creative between winners (44%) and losers (5%)
- Analyze audience characteristics of high-converters
- Replicate winning campaign targeting
- Pause or retarget low-quality traffic sources
Priority 2: Landing Page Optimization (Secondary)
Section titled “Priority 2: Landing Page Optimization (Secondary)”- After fixing traffic, THEN optimize pages
- Even bad pages convert at 40%+ with good traffic
- But good pages can push good traffic from 44% → 60%+
The Universal Lesson
Section titled “The Universal Lesson”Good traffic + mediocre page > Bad traffic + perfect page
Always fix traffic quality first. Page optimization is the multiplier, not the foundation.
Principles Applied
Section titled “Principles Applied”- Traffic Quality Persists Through the Funnel ✓
- Isolate Variables to Find Root Cause ✓
- Context is Everything ✓
- Common Sense Over Complexity ✓
Thinking Flow Applied
Section titled “Thinking Flow Applied”- Advanced Isolation Method ✓
- Multi-Step Validation ✓
- Hold page constant, vary traffic → Find massive difference ✓
- Check subsequent steps → Confirms traffic quality issue ✓
Tool Features Enabling This Analysis
Section titled “Tool Features Enabling This Analysis”- Multi-step funnel with “loaded” vs “viewed” event tracking
- Ability to filter entire funnel by campaign/affid
- Conversion rates recalculated for filtered segments
- Step-by-step drop-off visualization
- Time between steps tracking (9s from loaded to viewed)
- Person counts at each step (not just percentages)
Navigation
Section titled “Navigation”- Previous: Case 7: Campaign Winners
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